18 Researched and written by Franklyn Michael Supplementary Associate, CARICAD FORECASTS FOR THE 2025 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON The Colorado State University (CSU) has provided forecasts for the Atlantic Hurricane Season since 1984. The CSU forecasts often become the foundation upon which other forecasts are made and disseminated by traditional mass media. The first CSU forecast for 2025 was made on April 3rd. It was delivered at the National Tropical Weather Conference. The updates for this year are scheduled for: • June 11 – (included in this edition of the newsletter) • July 9 • August 6 We issue these forecasts to satisfy the curiosity of the public and to bring attention to the hurricane problem. There is a general interest in knowing what the odds are for an active or inactive season. One must remember that our forecasts are based on the premise that those global oceanic and atmospheric conditions which preceded comparatively active or inactive hurricane seasons in the past provide meaningful information about similar trends in future seasons. It is also important that the reader appreciate that these seasonal forecasts are based on statistical and dynamical models which will fail in some years. Moreover, these forecasts do not specifically predict where within the Atlantic basin these storms will strike. – Colorado State University, June 11, 2025 Storm damage in the Grenadines. (Photo by Gregory King) • Continues on next page
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