19 30-YEAR AVERAGE Named Storms — 14.4 Hurricanes — 7.2 APRIL 3 17 9 Named Storm days — 9.4 Major Hurricanes — 3.2 Hurricane Days — 27 Major Hurricane Days 7 Track though the Caribbean 85 4 35 9 56 % JUNE 11 17 9 85 4 35 9 56 % CHANGE - APRIL TO JUNE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE • Continued from previous page The table above shows elements of the forecast that are particularly relevant for everyday household preparedness and capacity building for students. COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY (CSU) FORECASTS FOR APRIL AND JUNE 2025 The April and June forecasts suggest the following significant issues: • The number of storms is forecast to be 125% of the 30-year average from 1991 to 2020 • The 2024 season was about 130% of the average • Seventeen storms are likely • Nine storms are likely to become hurricanes • Four storms are likely to become major hurricanes • The landfall probability in the Caribbean for 2025 was stated as 56% It is immediately noticeable that the April and June forecasts are the same. On that issue, the CSU has stated: “The CSU forecast is based on rigorous state-of-the-art science. It is respected and highly regarded. However, we must remain mindful that whatever the forecast, preparation and capacity to respond to the reality of hurricanes, remain of paramount importance. Action is required at the regional, national, community, family and individual levels. In that continuum of action, each of us has a role to play.” Storm damage in the Grenadines. (Photo by Gregory King) • Continues on next page
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